The Black Swan - The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Penguin Books

2008

480 páginas

16h 0m

ISBN-13: 9780141906201

From Booklist:
In business and government, major money is spent on prediction. Uselessly, according to Taleb, who administers a severe thrashing to MBA- and Nobel Prize-credentialed experts who make their living from economic forecasting. A financial trader and current rebel with a cause, Taleb is mathematically oriented and alludes to statistical concepts that underlie models of prediction, while his expressive energy is expended on roller-coaster passages, bordering on gleeful diatribes, on why experts are wrong. They neglect Taleb s metaphor of "the black swan," whose discovery invalidated the theory that all swans are white. Taleb rides this manifestation of the unpredicted event into a range of phenomena, such as why a book becomes a best-seller or how an entrepreneur becomes a billionaire, taking pit stops with philosophers who have addressed the meaning of the unexpected and confounding. Taleb projects a strong presence here that will tempt outside-the-box thinkers into giving him a look.

Gilbert Taylor
Copyright © American Library Association. All rights reserved

Resenhas (3)

1 (Ruim)

Confuso e chato...

A única resenha anterior sobre esse título não versa sobre a mesma obra. Este é um livro de não-ficção, mas escrito de forma enfadonha, morosa e muito confusa. Evite.